What New Tariff Announcements Mean for Your Investments

 

Recently, the stock market—represented by the S&P 500—rose for three consecutive days as investors hoped that new tariffs announced by the U.S. government after yesterday’s close would be limited and targeted. Unfortunately, the official announcement was broader than expected. President Trump announced a 10 percent tariff on imports from all countries except Canada and Mexico. Had that been the extent of the announcement, the market’s expectations may have been met. In addition, higher tariffs were proposed, specifically for countries with which the U.S. has long-standing trade disputes—most notably China (34 percent), Japan (24 percent), and the European Union (20 percent).

 

What This Could Mean for the Economy

If these tariffs are fully implemented, they could affect the broader economy. Higher tariffs generally make imported goods more expensive, which can raise prices for consumers and increase inflation. They may also further lower consumer confidence as people grow concerned about the economic outlook.

 

That said, it’s important to note that this announcement leaves room for negotiation. In the past, similar announcements have served as a starting point for talks. In his remarks in the Rose Garden, President Trump told other countries that they could reduce the potential tariffs by reducing their tariff levels on U.S. goods.

 

Until the end game is understood, uncertainty will run high. This is true for consumers making spending decisions, companies deciding whether to invest in new projects, and investors evaluating where and how to invest.

 

Staying Focused

 

Over the next several days, we’ll be watching to see how other countries respond. Some may choose to negotiate, while others may go in the other direction and retaliate with tariffs of their own. If that happens, it could escalate tensions further, which could continue to weigh on investors.

 

Coming into the year, we expected increased market volatility due to potential policy proposals. We anticipate that it will continue. In situations like this, investors’ immediate reaction is to sell first and ask questions later. Keep in mind that volatility, though uncomfortable, can be a time for long-term investors to look for opportunities.

 

What This Means for You

The S&P 500 is trading where it was in September 2024. Seeing recent market gains disappear can be frustrating and even worrisome. But it’s important to remember that markets will always change, so staying adaptable, tuning out short-term noise, and keeping your long-term goals in focus are critical.

 

This is a good time to review your investment goals and make sure that your portfolio remains aligned with those objectives. That may mean rebalancing—adjusting your mix of stocks and bonds—if it’s gotten off track. Diversification (spreading your investments across different types of assets) can be an effective way to manage risk.

 

Historically, high-quality companies—those with strong balance sheets and consistent earnings—tend to perform better during times like these. Bonds are also a helpful part of portfolios because they tend to offset volatility in the stock market.

 

Looking Ahead

 

As we’ve said before, concerns about tariffs, inflation, and the pace of economic growth are likely to remain in focus for a while. What actions (if any) the Federal Reserve can take will weigh on markets until we have clarity on the path forward. For now, that route is unclear. But things can shift quickly, and we’ll be monitoring developments closely.

 

This material is intended for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Please contact your financial professional for more information specific to your situation.

 

Bonds are subject to availability and market conditions; some have call features that may affect income. Bond prices and yields are inversely related: when the price goes up, the yield goes down, and vice versa. Market risk is a consideration if sold or redeemed prior to maturity.

 

Diversification does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets, and diversification cannot guarantee that any objective or goal will be achieved.

 

Authored by Chris Fasciano, chief market strategist at Commonwealth Financial Network®.

 

 

 

    © 2025 Commonwealth Financial Network®

    Disclosures: Certain sections of this commentary contain forward-looking statements that are based on our reasonable expectations, estimates, projections, and assumptions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. All indices are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment by the public. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The S&P 500 is based on the average performance of the 500 industrial stocks monitored by Standard & Poor’s. The Nasdaq Composite Index measures the performance of all issues listed in the Nasdaq Stock Market, except for rights, warrants, units, and convertible debentures. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is computed by summing the prices of the stocks of 30 large companies and then dividing that total by an adjusted value, one which has been adjusted over the years to account for the effects of stock splits on the prices of the 30 companies. Dividends are reinvested to reflect the actual performance of the underlying securities. The MSCI EAFE Index is a float-adjusted market capitalization index designed to measure developed market equity performance, excluding the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of companies representative of the market structure of 26 emerging market countries in Europe, Latin America, and the Pacific Basin. The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000® Index. The Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged market value-weighted performance benchmark for investment-grade fixed-rate debt issues, including government, corporate, asset-backed, and mortgage-backed securities with maturities of at least one year. The U.S. Treasury Index is based on the auctions of U.S. Treasury bills, or on the U.S. Treasury’s daily yield curve. The Bloomberg US Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index is an unmanaged market value-weighted index of 15- and 30-year fixed-rate securities backed by mortgage pools of the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (FHLMC), and balloon mortgages with fixed-rate coupons. The Bloomberg US Municipal Index includes investment-grade, tax-exempt, and fixed-rate bonds with long-term maturities (greater than 2 years) selected from issues larger than $50 million. Basis points (bps) is a common unit of measure for interest rates and other percentages in finance. One basis point is equal to 1/100th of 1 percent, or 0.01 percent.

    © Axial Financial Group. All Rights reserved. 1 Van de Graaff Drive, Suite 500, Burlington, Massachusetts. 781.273.1400